Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 272.111999 307.444788 346.726487 393.834767 449.053312 512.041083 589.775771
2025-05-25 224.778880 272.358020 330.071148 406.055146 504.694716 630.140966 804.571791
2025-06-01 194.356416 245.985884 312.158727 404.735425 533.428399 709.899955 977.264799
2025-06-08 170.431710 223.044495 293.420343 396.722760 548.494561 770.008440 1131.083479
2025-06-15 154.814183 208.521056 283.071675 397.237849 573.514715 845.938237 1321.632442
2025-06-22 139.571313 192.457371 268.138232 388.201642 581.551341 895.474052 1477.978879
2025-06-29 128.953824 181.728705 259.425433 386.866643 600.537028 964.531414 1682.064015
2025-07-06 116.366017 166.794702 242.707898 370.557362 591.955478 984.167769 1797.165463
2025-07-13 112.469931 164.574559 245.176823 385.434772 638.361389 1109.301208 2151.308453
2025-07-20 109.319843 163.135479 248.580612 402.041031 689.985276 1253.415572 2585.921357
2025-07-27 103.753395 157.316036 244.186454 404.328467 714.941802 1348.875524 2937.264282
2025-08-03 96.626710 148.376098 233.740514 394.441294 714.651972 1391.231217 3170.628769
2025-08-10 90.256437 140.378038 224.491399 386.268216 717.711610 1443.849327 3454.504081
2025-08-17 87.634330 138.508887 225.760008 398.217203 764.420942 1605.568241 4100.287622
2025-08-24 83.278729 133.305290 220.591552 396.926769 782.361782 1702.707793 4594.201185
2025-08-31 78.410128 126.854786 212.614542 389.103338 784.547800 1761.070269 4989.142610
2025-09-07 75.084797 122.903330 208.917692 389.606278 805.849430 1873.658395 5617.212567
2025-09-14 70.851689 117.038979 201.166478 380.782274 803.794627 1922.794917 6039.712068
2025-09-21 67.871360 113.268051 197.126403 379.478532 819.869965 2026.743995 6725.322733
2025-09-28 63.415956 106.515565 186.839994 363.549125 797.220284 2013.072745 6925.397908
2025-10-05 62.690578 106.669991 190.115934 378.080158 854.807196 2256.062320 8379.484333
2025-10-12 62.133077 107.094082 193.945059 394.296224 919.788173 2541.955106 10249.255714
2025-10-19 60.181355 104.714273 191.878508 396.529623 946.940916 2710.376331 11652.510709